Inflation
U.S. Inflation Gauge Surges to 4.5% Annual Rate in Q1 Even as Economy Grows
via Bureau of Economic Analysis
The U.S. economy grew 2.0% in Q1 2026, but the PCE price index — the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure — jumped to a 4.5% annualized rate, up sharply from 2.9% last quarter. Core PCE, stripping out food and energy, also rose to 4.3%.
Why it matters
A reaccelerating inflation measure makes near-term Fed rate cuts less likely, which means mortgage, auto loan, and credit card rates are set to stay elevated through summer.


